Archive for February, 2004

February 29th, 2004

Time Out Of Mind

A graphic on ESPN 2's broadcast tonight of the Flyers-Wings game from Detroit read as follows:

"The Last Time"
Philly Went To The Finals
21 teams in the NHL
Ronald Reagan was President
Titanic wreckage discovered
First class stamp: $.20
Top movie: Ghostbusters

Indeed, all these things were true when Philly went to the Finals in 1987. Of course, somebody seemed to forget that the Flyers went to the Finals again in 1997, when they were swept by the Red Wings, four games to none. Though they corrected their mistake midway through the third period, it was pretty glaring. Something tells me somebody in the booth got yelled at tonight.

 
February 27th, 2004

Lang To Detroit

TSN is reporting that the Detroit Red Wings have acquired center Robert Lang, the NHL's leading scorer this season, from the Washington Capitals in exchange for junior winger Thomas Fleischmann, a first round draft pick in 2004, and a fourth round pick in 2006.

Here's the skinny on Fleischmann from Red Wings Central:

STRENGTHS Fast skater with quickness and agility ... excellent stickhandler with terrific 1-on-1 moves ... gritty workhorse who battles through checks to get to front of net ... capable of scoring goals with his soft hands in tight and a quick, accurate shot ... tremendous vision and great playmaker ... good hockey sense and intelligent offensively ... fierce competitor with good work ethic ...

WEAKNESSES
Doesn't always bury his chances when in scoring position ... sometimes looks for the open man instead of shooting ... slender build needs more muscle for Fleischmann to win battles and create open space in the pros ...

PROJECTION
Fleischmann has made a smooth adjustment to North America on and off the ice. He has the speed, moves and hands to develop into a scoring-line player at the NHL level.

Fleischmann is currently plays for the Moose Jaw Warriors of the WHL, where he is the team's second leading scorer with 28 goals and 41 assists.

A pretty good deal, especially considering the Caps rid themselves completely of Lang's contract, get a pretty good prospect, and a pick that's probably going to come at the bottom of the first round in next year's draft. Looks like it's going to be crowded in Portland next season, home of the Caps top minor league affiliate.

As for the Wings, with a farm system that's so incredibly deep, and without knowing when you're going to have another shot at the Stanley Cup, the deal was too good to pass up. Most significantly, this deal will probably allow the Wings to cut down on Steve Yzerman's minutes, and help keep him fresh for the playoffs.

 
February 27th, 2004

Charting The Starters

Colby Cosh used an off day recently to create an interesting graph representing all of the pitchers who put in enough innings to qualify for the ERA title last season. The X-axis represents number of walks (control), and the Y-axis represents strikeouts (power). The third variable Cosh introduces is the number of home runs allowed, which he portrays by the size of the dot that represents each pitcher on the diagram (the bigger the dot, the more dingers allowed).

Click here to see the graph (if you can't read the graph initially, just leave your pointer over the graph, and a box allowing you to view it at normal size will appear). It's a neat little exercise, one in which Colby has combined the three variables that Sabermetric analysis says are the only data points for which pitchers are completely responsible (note he uses ERA, which Sabermetric analysis has found wanting, as a method to determine his sample, not make any judgements on it).

Which leads Colby to note:

If you're a baseball fan you probably grasped all this in ten or 15 seconds. It's a picture of the "universe" of starting pitchers (it would be really cool if you could animate it), and I wonder if I am the first to make such a thing. It frustrates me that sports pages and magazines so rarely challenge you with data representations even as marginally sophisticated and complex as this. They're talking to a market of people who can tell you what Terry Sawchuk's goals-against average was in 1964-65 without checking, but they shy away from putting anything on the page more complicated than a grade-school bar graph.

What Colby is touching on here is the difference between being able to create statistics, and being able to understand and appreciate them. As a student like me who, to put it kindly, was "Math-challenged" from the earliest moments of my academic career, I understand this pretty implicitly (and this is even after taking college calculus and probability and statistics as a high school senior).

Then again, this really shouldn't be an excuse for being able to look at the data, parse it for real information, and then draw conclusions from it. For me, this wasn't a skill easily won, and it took getting slapped in the face by the business world to get there (especially my experience as a college newspaper editor, when I learned I was responsible for the bottom line financially as well as editorially).

I only point this out for one reason: to quote Barbie, "Math is hard". Which makes the work that literally thousands of amateur Sabermetricians have done all the more amazing. I wasn't always a devotee of Sabermetrics for precisely this reason.

But with Colby's work as a starting point, here's another question I'd like to see answered. Instead of charting one season with all the pitchers in the majors, why not chart one pitcher's entire career? Further, why not chart the career of every "starting" pitcher in the history of the game, and then average the results to discover at what age a pitcher's performance begins to erode? If you like, you could parse your sample size based on power (strikeouts) vs. control (walks).

 
February 27th, 2004

NHL Roundup

With first place in the Eastern Conference on the line, Philly and Ottawa played to a 1-1 tie in scenic Kanata. But the buzz after the game concerned Martin Havlat, who got a match penalty after taking a swing at Philly's Mark Recchi:

"He's a reckless player and someday someone is going to make him eat his lunch," Flyers coach Ken Hitchcock said. "He's going to get it someday, and it's going to be harsh."

Havlat was ejected for taking a two-handed swing at Recchi's head in frustration at the Philadelphia forward's dogged stick-checking.

"He's known for it," said Recchi, who had several stitches on his upper left lip. "It might not come from our team, it might come from some other team, but he will because he's cheap and he does stupid stuff like that. He'd better learn to protect himself."

The best game out West took place in Vancouver, as the Canucks tied the Sharks in regulation, setting up Brent Sopel's goal to win in in OT, 3-2. Sopel had two goals and an assist, scoring the winning goal when San Jose's Vesa Toskala couldn't prevent a rebound off a low shot into his pads by Markus Naslund.

Everyone likes to malign the Southeast Division, and say that the Tampa Bay Lightning benefit greatly by playing in the NHL's worst division. And after beating Toronto 4-3 in Tampa last night (and matching Toronto's season-long point total), one has to wonder what Tampa will have to do to get some respect. Brad Richards had two goals for the Bolts.

In Boston, Montreal's Craig Rivet scored in OT to ice a 3-2 win for the Habs. Montreal remains in seventh place in the East, three points ahead of the Islanders, who lost again to the Rangers, 6-3.

The win marked a successful debut for Rangers interim head coach Tom Renney, as the Rangers swept the six-game season series with the Islanders. Jaromir Jagr and Chris Simon both scored twice for the Blueshirts, but plenty of credit has to go to Rangers defenseman Dale Purinton, who kept his cool when Eric Cairns of the Islanders challenged him to a fight in the first period with the Rangers already up 2-0. The result: a seven minute Rangers power play that resulted in a goal, and salted it away for the Manhattanites.

Back out West, St. Louis and Colorado tied 2-2 in Mike Kitchen's debut as Blues head coach. St. Louis had been down 2-0, but got second period goals from Dallas Drake and Keith Tkachuk to force the tie. Meanwhile in Calgary, Western Division leading Detroit won 2-1 in Calgary. And finally, in Nashville, the Predators got another goal from Steve Sullivan en route to a 4-0 win over Minnesota.

With teams looking to obtain a rugged defenseman, the Ducks announced they won't be parting with veteran Keith Carney.

With CBA Armageddon still looming, another team announced it would lose money this year -- this time it's the Buffalo Sabres, who are projecting a $10 million loss even if the team makes the playoffs. And in Dallas, Stars owner Tom Hicks revealed that he asked Mike Modano and Bill Guerin to defer some compensation in order to keep former Stars defenseman Derian Hatcher in Dallas this past offseason

 
February 27th, 2004

Exit Herzog

Here in Washington, everyone knows what you're talking about when you mention the names, Sonny, Sam and Frank: the radio team that has been broadcasting Washington Redskins games together since 1981.

Well, the partnership that's so popular that many locals turn off the volume on their televisions, and turn up their radios during Redskins games, is no more.

Frank Herzog, the longtime play-by-play voice of the Washington Redskins, was bounced from one of the NFL's most popular local radio announcing teams yesterday. Sonny Jurgensen and Sam Huff will remain as team broadcasters, but Herzog will be replaced by veteran broadcaster Larry Michael.

WJFK Radio, which holds the rights to Redskins broadcasts, announced the change yesterday in a news release. Herzog said he got the news at lunchtime from station manager Alan Leinwand.

"They gave me two reasons," Herzog said. "They said they wanted to save money. And more important they thought it was important for the continuity of their sports department that the guy who reports on the Redskins all during the week do the games on Sunday. There was high praise for me but he said he wanted to make the change.

Folks, as a transplanted New Yorker, I'm no fan of the Washington Redskins. But know this, the firing of Frank Herzog is a mistake on par with Bo Schembechler's decision to force Ernie Harwell out of the radio booth of the Detroit Tigers, and KMOX's move to throw Harry Caray over the side before he went on to fame and fortune with the Chicago Cubs.

The Redskins are an institution in this town, and something tells me the faithful are not going to take kindly to this news. I've caught more than a few games on the radio over the past few seasons (mostly in the car on my way home from Ravens games), and I never detected anything that would suggest that Herzog was off his game.

At bottom, it's a move I can't understand, and seems to be simply change for change's sake alone. What a shame. And what a waste.

POSTSCRIPT: For reaction from Redskins fans on the Washington Post message boards, click here.

And since we're speaking of football, here's a post from Dan Wismar on the mock draft phenomenom.

UPDATE: Jody Foldesy of the Washington Times has been listening closer than I have:

 
February 26th, 2004

Deadlines, Deadlines

Looks like the only way Terrell Owens is going to escape San Francisco, is by way of trade. As Fox Sports is reporting:

According to league sources, Owens and his agent, David Joseph, missed the deadline to file the necessary paperwork with the 49ers and the NFL's management council in order to void the final three years of his contract. That means Owens' rights revert back to the 49ers and his only way out of San Francisco would be via a trade, the sources said.

Rather than seeing him leave and getting nothing in return, the 49ers can now field trade offers for Owens, who has had a contentious relationship with quarterback Jeff Garcia in San Francisco.

Dennis Northcutt of Cleveland is in the same boat too. But then again, maybe there's more to this than a clerical error and a blown deadline. Stay tuned.

 
February 26th, 2004

Vinny, Vidi, Vamos

After six up and down seasons, the New York Jets apparently have decided to cut ties with quarterback and New York native Vinny Testaverde. Despite what others might say, I'm in the tank for Vinny, a Long Island guy who I actually shared a barber with back in my younger days. I wrote this post last year, and my feeling for the guy haven't changed, despite the less than stellar results. Good luck to a good guy.

 
February 26th, 2004

Humor From The Couch

In Norman Chad's most recent edition of The Couch Slouch, I came across this amusing aside:

I recently was rereading Milton Friedman's 1957 epic, "The Theory of Consumption Function," in which the famed economist was advocating a steady growth in the money supply, when I came across a passage I had not noticed before. "On the other hand," Friedman wrote, "the New York Yankees should not be allowed to spend freely."*

You tell 'em, bro. . .

(* By the way, no matter how hard you look in Milton Friedman's book for the sentence I cite at the top, you will not find it. I made it up because, well, it was the best way to start my column on an otherwise dreary afternoon. Go Royals and Twins!)

The Free Market Sports Fan feels wounded.

 
February 26th, 2004

Jamal, Jamal, Jamal

In the midst of the 2003 NFL Draft, Baltimore Ravens GM Ozzie Newsome and head coach Brian Billick were manuvering to draft a quarterback. At first, they wanted Byron Leftwich, but Jacksonville crushed those dreams. Eventually, they settled on Cal's Kyle Boller, but to get him they needed to swap a few picks with the New England Patriots, giving up a second round pick, and their first round pick in 2004 to grab Boller with the 19th choice in the first round.

Boy, is that looking like a mistake now, considering that the true heart of Baltimore's offense, running back Jamal Lewis, is now facing federal drug charges.

The storyline reads like something out of HBO's Baltimore-based crime drama, The Wire. Federal officials, looking to break the hold drug traffickers have on a public housing project in Atlanta snared Lewis in their investigation after he was drafted by the Ravens, but before he signed his first contract with the team.

If anything, it sounds as if Lewis is refusing to cooperate with prosecutors, who are now only too happy to announce a high profile indictment of a pro football superstar.

If there was any team that made the playoffs last year that couldn't afford any margin of error, it was Baltimore. There simply isn't any other team in football that needs standout performances week in and week out from each unit in order to win. If one unit is even off half a beat, this team comes apart. If Lewis misses time next season in connection with these charges, there simply isn't any reliable backup plan.

With their first round pick gone to New England, Baltimore can't pick up a decent running back in the draft. With that option closed, you have to wonder whether or not Antowain Smith, late of the Patriots, might not be a viable option.

In many ways, the situation is looking a lot like the season where the Ravens couldn't defend their Super Bowl championship without Lewis in the lineup. The key difference here, is that the offense was far more reliant on Lewis last year than it was even the year that they won the Super Bowl. With Trent Dilfer, Shannon Sharpe, and Quadry Ismail elsewhere, the Ravens continually struggled to deliver the ball effectively to their receivers.

If the Ravens are without Lewis for any significant amount of time, Boller and his receivers are going to have to get their acts together right quick. This team just dropped from contending for home field, back into the pack struggling for a Wild Card berth.

POSTSCRIPT: As you might imagine, the Baltimore Sun is the place to be for all things Jamal today. The Ravens have publicly expressed their support, and the man on the street in "Charm City," is having trouble believing the story the Federales are telling.

The Sun's Mike Preston sees nothing but trouble ahead:

But whether or not Lewis has done anything wrong, nothing good comes from the indictment of an innocent man. Lewis will have to stand trial, and prosecutors will dig into his background and make public all his past mistakes and errors in judgment. The lives of friends and family members will change.

Another Lewis will be back in Atlanta, and we'll constantly see the old videotape of Ravens linebacker Ray Lewis going into the Atlanta courtroom for a double murder trial in 2000.

The Ravens can't win, either. They already have the identity of being the Oakland Raiders of the East Coast, and the indictment of Jamal Lewis will only fuel the negative image of him and the team. We don't know if Jamal Lewis is guilty or innocent. As sportswriters, we like to think we're the link between the fans and sports heroes, but we really don't know these players personally.

For more on the federal investigation, click here for details from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

 
February 26th, 2004

The Off Wing Interview: Dan Tobin, Sports Agent

After finishing my post on Christian Drejer, the Florida sophomore who bolted from Gainesville to return to Europe and a fat contract with FC Barcelona, I found myself asking a few more questions -- ones I didn't have many ready answers to.

But as it turns out, I was able to get hold of somebody who does have some answers.

Dan Tobin represents professional basketball players, and runs his solo practice out of the Washington, DC area. Dan served as Vice President of Basketball for Professional Management Associates from 1997-2003. Over the course of his tenure with PMA, Dan signed Jason Williams, Cal Bowdler, Trenton Hassell, Will Solomon, Roger Mason and Tamar Slay.

For agents like Dan, the NBA Draft is the biggest day on the calendar, so I concentrated on questions concerning how players prepare for the draft, and made sure to mention what else might have gone into Drejer's decision to return to Europe. And I made sure to throw in a Kobe Bryant question too.

Enjoy -- and thanks again to Dan for participating. He's been very gracious, and has hinted he's willing to come back. There's some real insight here in terms of talent evaluation, and even a revelation about how teams make mistakes with draft picks that readers of Moneyball will find very familiar.

Off Wing Opinion (OWO): At this point who is going number one in the 2004 NBA Draft?

Dan Tobin (DT): It will depend on which underclassmen or high school players declare for the draft. I am always reluctant to discuss specific high school players and underclassmen until which point they have declared for the draft. However, rest assured the first pick in the draft will not be a senior in college.

OWO: What does a player have to do right now to move up in the draft?

DT: Spend as little time thinking about the draft and concentrating more on the next practice or the next game. A cardinal sin is adjusting your game mid-season to what you think the pro scouts want to see from you.

OWO: When is the critical time when NBA scouts make their final evaluations on prospects?

DT: Typically, the Chicago Pre-Draft camp is the first or second week of June and the draft is the fourth week. In the period between the conclusion of the camp and the draft itself, the prospects will travel to those teams which have indicated interest in them and workout with usually three other prospects. It is normally during this period that teams are making their final decisions on players.

OWO: How and why do teams make mistakes in the draft? What's the common thread?

DT: Sometimes a player will have a tremendous individual workout or a big first night at the Chicago camp and a team will ignore to some extent an otherwise mediocre college career. The common thread seems to be overemphasizing the post-season evaluation at the expense of the college career which provides more of a track record.

OWO: What's the most common mistake a prospect can make in the weeks running up to the draft?

DT: Not protecting his downside. A player who thinks he's solidly in the lottery may refuse to work out with teams that draft in the low 20's for example. And many teams will not draft players that do not work out with them. The idea is to build your base and then move up. But you don't want to get caught in a situation where the teams drafting just below the area you are projected to go in pass on you because you didn't work out with them. I have seen it happen.

OWO: Why does a player like Christian Drejer make the jump back to Europe?

DT: That's a very interesting question. I suppose in theory he was looking to be evaluated by the NBA in a different system other than the one he was playing in. He's not prospering at Florida so he figures that he can wipe the slate clean and move to Barcelona and start again because he doesn't have to enter the draft until he's 22 as a foreign player. What is problematic for him is that unlike other European prospects who benefit from the rush to draft Europeans is that Drejer has already been exposed here in the United States and therefore has lost some of the intrigue that he would have otherwise maintained had he not come at all.

I am not sure his move will have the desired effect.

 
February 26th, 2004

NHL Roundup

Pittsburgh's long national nightmare is over. Rick Bowness' has probably just begun.

Ric Jackman scored with 3:12 remaining in overtime, as Pittsburgh snapped its 18-game winless streak with a 4-3 win over the Coyotes in Phoenix. It was an inauspicious debut for interim Coyotes head coach Rick Bowness, who was given the job on Tuesday night when the team fired Bobby Francis. It was the first win for Pittsburgh since January 12th in Philadelphia.

With a chance to climb to the top of the Eastern Conference standings, Toronto bonked once more, getting shutout 4-0 by Robert Luongo and las Panteras de Florida. Luongo had 33 saves, and Juraj Kolnik scored twice for Florida.

Patrick Elias had two goals and three assists in New Jersey's 8-2 demolition of Buffalo. While Jamie Langenbrunner was powering the New Jersey offense early in the season, Elias and his linemates, Scott Gomez and Brian Gionta have been unstoppable as of late. With the win, Devils goalie Martin Brodeur became the first goalie in NHL history to win 30 games in nine straight seasons.

In a Southeast Division showdown, Tampa Bay beat Atlanta, 4-2. Vincent Lecavalier got the tie-breaking goal in the third period to salt it away for the Lightning. It was Tampa Bay's first win at the Philips Arena in eight tries. On the other end of the division, Carolina edged Washington 2-1. Jeff O'Neill got the game winner on a two-man advantage midway through the second period, as the Caps only managed 5 shots in the game's first 28 minutes. Arturs Irbe, who had spent most of the season in the minors, got the win for Carolina.

In Dallas, the Kings and Stars tied 1-1, but the real news concerned Stars center Mike Modano, who left the game in the first period with a groin injury. He's listed as day-to-day. Elsewhere out West, Chicago beat Columbus 4-3 and Anaheim tripped up Edmonton, 4-2.

In off-ice news, the Avalanche acquired center Darby Hendrickson from the Minnesota Wild. Hendrickson, who has played most of the season in the minors, gives Colorado some depth behind Andrei Nikolishin.

And in Vancouver, while Marcus Naslund has returned to practice to skate with the Canucks, GM Brian Burke is trying to start to put some pressure on his bosses to get a new deal done:

Brian Burke says he was just stating facts when he called himself a "lame duck general manager" with the Vancouver Canucks.

Burke also said not having a contract in place for next year isn't preventing him from doing his job with the NHL team.

"All I did was address something factually," Burke said Wednesday. "If people don't like that, too bad.

Tom Benjamin thinks Burke is just a "lucky duck".

And tonight in New York, Tom Renney makes his debut as interim head coach of the New York Rangers. He faces the Islanders his first time out, a team the Rangers have beat five times this season.

UPDATE: In the Washington Post, Jason LaCanfora is reporting that activity in and around the Capitals is starting to boil over. Besides the usual suspects, it looks like winger Mike Grier might be available for the right price. Even better, it seems as if the Toronto Maple Leafs are upping their offer for Sergei Gonchar, something that might have some of my readers pretty worried.

 
February 25th, 2004

CD BUYER’S GUIDE

Yeah Yeah Yeahs: I’m admittedly late to the Yeah Yeah Yeahs art punk party scene. And from what their live shows sounds like, it must be quite a spectacle. Lead singer, Karen O leads them on a caustic, frantic, spasmodic traverse. Fueled by her primal yelp that moves from a sinister Siouxsie Sioux sneer towards a softer Chrissie Hynde purr, the band throws together a rather repetitious collection of 11 songs for their full length debut, Fever To Tell. The disc has some true high points like the fantastic opener, “Rich,” “Y Control” and current single, “Maps.” Unfortunately, the whole thing is a bit haphazard. Some of their guitar rifts and vocal cadences seemed to be lifted directly from their influences, other times they seem like their production was done by amateur hacks. There is a fine line between going for deliberate minimalism and just being sloppy. Best enjoyed in short spurts.

Elbow: I’ve read some hype and favorable comparisons to the sweeping grandiosity of Radiohead and Spiritualized and after buying their 2nd release, A Cast of Thousands, I can only surmise that these blokes from Manchester are the wet mop of Britpop. Elbow might as well be Spandau Ballet meets the Counting Crows. With the exception of, “Fallen Angel,” a chugging, guitar driven bright spot, the rest of the album is a morose collection of boring and limp ballads. Heavy on the emotional wrenching, singer Guy Garvey actually says, “pull my ribs apart/and let the sun shine in.” Absolute dreck. This is quite possibly one of the worst CDs I have ever purchased.

Norah Jones: Not one to break new music, VH-1 makes up its video playlist that reflects album sales and radio airplay. Credit is due to the hit pandering network for introducing Norah Jones long before commercial radio caught on and eons before she ruled the 2003 Grammys. I stopped in my tracks the first time I happened upon the video for “Don’t Know Why”—a wonderful, seductive voice, great song…and just look at her. Right then I decided that Norah Jones is an angel sent straight from heaven.

With its gentle mix of piano-based jazz, subtle blues, acoustic guitar noodling and breathy vocals, her debut CD, Come Away With Me, sold an astonishing 18M copies worldwide. By no means a pop record, it was a little bit country and virtually no rock n roll. Her music sort of defies categorization, it’s soothing, wistful, nocturnal, remarkably peaceful and overwhelmingly pleasant. Comfort food for the ears.

Sticking to the formula of her previous work, although mixing more originals with covers and providing her own lyrics overtop of Duke Ellington’s “Melancholia” for the disc’s final track, “Don’t Miss You at All.” Opening with the Jones-penned, “Sunrise” Feels Like Home is a slightly more sophisticated follow-up, but just as engaging.

Not a spot light seeker, no diva posturing, just an extraordinary, understated talent. I am in love with Norah Jones.

 
February 25th, 2004

Sather Out As Rangers Coach

The one morning I forget to read Hockeybird just happens to be the day I could afford to miss it least, as Glen Sather will announce today that he is stepping down as head coach of the New York Rangers.

But before Slats announced he was stepping down, Hockey Rodent had some questions for the erstwhile head coach:

 
February 25th, 2004

Bad Idea Jeans, Redux

Please refer to section four of the Free Market Sports Fan Manifesto:

4. Thou shalt not propose to your girlfriend/boyfriend/potential domestic partner at the game for broadcast on the jumbotron. This is an important moment, so show some class.

One local Washington man apparently didn't pay attention to my warning:

The woman was blindfolded, sent out on the court, and told if she could find a local bank's mascot, she would win free Wizards tickets.

As the crowd yelled "hot" and "cold," the woman roamed the court for about 10 seconds.

Then, as she found and touched the bank mascot, she was told she won the contest.

However, the public address announcer said there was a surprise.

The man appeared from the bank mascot's costume, grabbed a microphone and then got down on one knee.

As he began to speak to the woman, she paused and grabbed her face in shock.

Then, as the crowd expected the man to pop question, the woman turned away from the man, and sprinted full speed across the basketball court.

After running up a tunnel, she was stopped by a security guard.

There was no indication on the broadcast whether the proposal was legitimate or not.

But the stunt surprised the groaning crowd as a message saying, "She said No!" appeared on the arena's scoreboard.

One can only hope that this incident serves as a cautionary tale for potential grooms.

 
February 25th, 2004

The Gonchar Discount

Another of my readers, a Maple Leafs fan named Matt ,apparently thinks I have a Nextel direct connect arrangement with Washington Caps GM George McPhee:

Everyone knows my Leafs want Gonchar. And everyone knows your Caps want Antropov/Stajan/Colaiacovo. Personally, I don't want any of those guys to move. And reports of Toronto needing to ship out two of those three (And a pick!) for Gonchar is insane. Right now, those 3 and Alexander Steen are the only 'sure-fire' NHLers that Toronto has, and even that's never certain.

So what I'm wondering - If you were McPhee, would you consider Tomas Kaberle and a different prospect? Or would it still take one of the three kids? If Gonchar does get here, Kaberle would lose tons of playing time, and he's essentially the same player as Sergei, just not as strong offensively.

Unfortunatley for me, I fear that the thinning crop of available D-men will force Toronto to make a deal that they lose out on big time. Please note I don't consider those three untouchable, but Gonchar (and yes, he's the best offensive d-man out there) is not good enough for the Leafs' future.

After conferring with my sources, I passed this message back, with the hopes it reaches Leafs GM John Ferguson.

Dude -- what are you willing to do to win the Stanley Cup?

You refer to the future, but when was the last time there was a Cup parade down Younge?

To play, you gotta pay. And if you want to obtain the best puck moving defenseman in all of hockey (at this moment anyway), you're going to have to give up some value in return.

This is not a Peter Bondra situation, where essentially Ottawa obtained a 2-month+playoffs rental. Gonchar has got plenty of good years ahead of him. Better yet, he's been to the Finals before (1998), and knows what playoff pressure is like.

You want this guy. If you want the Cup, you need this guy. Pay up.

Here's a reference point. Back in 1996, Colorado GM Pierre Lacroix needed a puck moving defenseman to complement his offense. He had a surplus of forwards, so early in the season when the pressure was off, he swapped a young and vital Owen Nolan for San Jose's Sandis Ozolinsh.

It was a deal that traded quality for quality. Toronto is going to have to make a hockey deal, and come up with a deadline pressure markup if they want to grab Gonchar.

In a way, I kind of envy McPhee these days. He's clearly weathered the worst of the storm with Caps owner Ted Leonsis, who would have gotten rid of him by now if he was going to replace him. Instead, he's getting a blank slate, and a mandate to rebuild the Capitals from the ground up. At the same time, he gets to use some real value (and as individuals moving to new locales, Gonchar, Olie Kolzig, Robert Lang and Brendan Witt all have significant value) to re-stock his minor league system.

After that, he's probably looking at 2-3 seasons out of the playoffs and at the bottom of the league -- and near the top of the draft order when players like Alexander Ovechkin and Sidney Crosby are finally ready for prime time.

POSTSCRIPT: Joe Tasca thinks Gonchar isn't worth the price, and Toronto will ultimately balk at acquiring him.

 
February 25th, 2004

Taking Exception

Duke alum Beau Dure had some bones to pick with my post concerning a player who bolted Billy Donovan's basketball program at Florida for a $500,000 per year contract at FC Barcelona:

Fiction of going to class? Clay Buckley and Greg Koubek were regular attendees in my computer science class. Phil Henderson's philosophy attendance was more sporadic, but that explains why he was one of the rare Duke players of the 80s and early 90s not to graduate.

Beau's correct here in pointing out that I overstated my case. There will always be a number of institutions for which the term "student athlete" has some real meaning -- with schools like Duke, Northwestern and Stanford being just three that come to mind (and with a nice geographic distribution to boot). But not every player who can be a star, or even just ride the pine in Division I college basketball, has the ability to be a top flight student. And if faced with the choice between having to deal with NCAA regulations and an arduous schedule of class, practice, and travel, I think a real paycheck, unlimited practice time, and a chance to live for a few years in a foreign country will win out every time.

In fact, I hope more American kids consider this option over the next couple of years. There are choices out there, and individuals ought to be able to consider them all, and make an informed choice. And, as I'm sure Beau knows, a growing number of American kids are eschewing American college Soccer to sign development contracts as teenagers to play in Europe.

And with European players displaying an attention to the fundamentals of basketball that many home grown players might lack, I have to wonder whether or not spending a few years in Barcelona or Milan instead of Chapel Hill or Bloomington might not be a bad idea for players looking to have a career in the NBA.

 
February 25th, 2004

NHL Roundup

Coaches get fired in the NHL all the time, perhaps more often than any other league in professional sports. But it still doesn't happen often enough that seeing two coaches fired in one day doesn't make you sit up and take notice.

Seeing Bobby Francis get the boot in Phoenix isn't terribly surprising. Sure, he was NHL Coach of the Year only two seasons ago, but since when is that good for guaranteeing your job any longer than just one more season? The fact remains that Phoenix, despite moving into a new arena, and boasting a pretty good young lineup, gradually came apart in the immediate aftermath of Brian Boucher's shutout streak. Once it was over, Phoenix's season was essentially over as well. Losing Ladislav Nagy was definitely a blow, but the die had been cast long before then. Expect to see Francis again soon at another NHL franchise near you (barring the little CBA problem that is).

Plenty of folks are saying that Joel Quenneville's firing in St. Louis is horribly unfair, but I'm having trouble seeing what the problem is. Sure, losing Al MacInnis and Barret Jackman hamstrung the Blues defense, but this was still a team that boasted Chris Pronger, Doug Weight, Pavol Demitra and Keith Tkachuk. They won 20 of their first 30 games and were within striking distance of Detroit, and now they might not even make the playoffs.

For a couple of seasons now, fans of the NHL have been waiting to see something spectacular from the Sedin twins, Henrik and Daniel. And while I've always thought some of those expectations were a bit unrealistic, Daniel is starting to look like an NHL player to be reckoned with. Last night against the visiting Detroit Red Wings, he scored four goals, including one into an empty net to salt away a 4-2 Vancouver win over the Red Wings.

It was a game that had an authentic playoff feel, and I felt sad when I realized we're still more than a full month away from this year's dance. Chris Chelios left the game in the second period with a bruised shoulder, after a collision with Vancouver's Todd Bertuzzi.

We had plenty of playoff atmosphere elsewhere last night, especially in Montreal and on Long Island. At the Molson Center, the Canadiens gutted out another victory, beating Northeast Division-leading Ottawa, 4-2. Michael Ryder had a pair of goals for the Habs. Elsewhere in Montreal, Montreal's team president told the Montreal Board of Trade that the Canadiens were going to have to make the third round of the playoffs this year in order to break even.

As if Bob Gainey's job in Montreal wasn't hard enough already?

Back on Long Island, the Islanders and Bruins tied 0-0, in a game that was delayed for over an hour when the Zamboni shaved the ice inside one of the goal creases too deeply. Despite going ahead with play, the ice was so rough, that Islanders goalie Rick DiPietro clearly had trouble moving laterally more than once during the game.

In Philadelphia, the Flyers vaulted back to the top of the league with a 3-1 win over the (need I say hapless?) Blackhawks. Claude Lapointe scored an empty net goal for Philly, his first since returning from the NHL's substance abuse program. Congratulations, Claude.

And finally, in Colorado, the Flames shutout the Avalanche, 2-0. Colorado is 0-3-1-1 in its last five games at home, scoring only four goals over that stretch. In addition, the Flames acquired forward Ville Nieminen from the Chicago Blackhawks for Jason Morgan and a conditional draft pick. It's good to see Calgary on the market as a buyer, instead of a seller as the season winds down. It's been too long. And in Washington, sources tell the Washington Post that the Caps continue to talk to the Avalanche about acquiring former Vezina winner, Olie Kolzig.

In off-ice news, Eric Lindros has been cleared to begin light workouts as part of his concussion rehab plan. I know Lindros as a mind of his own, but more and more I keep hoping to hear a retirement announcement. In Columbus, the arbitration hearing that will decide whether or not Nikolai Zherdev is a free man or the property of Victor Tikhonov has been set.

All I can say is that if Zherdev loses, I hope the U.S. government plans to give him political asylum. It's clear Vladimir Putin's government is a thoroughly corrupt joke, and that former Soviet hockey czar Tikhonov gets what he wants from him -- including conveniently created induction papers into the Russian Army. Here's hoping the arbitrator sees through their transparent attempt to essentially ransom Zherdev.

 
February 24th, 2004

Basketball’s Global Village

Down in Gainesville, Florida men's basketball head coach Billy Donovan is in a bit of fix. One of his key players off the bench, Christian Drejer, a 21-year old sophomore guard from Denmark, has just left Florida forever to play for FC Barcelona back in Spain. He's guaranteed two years at $500,000 per, with an option for a third.

Tom Izzo, head coach at Michigan State, a coach who also recruited Drejer, told ESPN's Andy Katz:

"I feel for Billy," Izzo said. "This is a low blow. It's so insulting. Drejer was a little bit like [former Spartan Erazem] Lorbek. He wasn't their best player and Lorbek wasn't ours. But Lorbek could shoot the pick-and-pop and had a 7-foot, 2-inch wingspan. He was like Drejer in that he was an oddity.

"Drejer was 6-9 but could bring the ball up. He wasn't their best player, but he was one of their best glue guys. He could play different positions and a lot of people won't see the value of him. Like Lorbek, he was a good person, a good kid, too."

A low blow? Insulting? Please.

Don't get me wrong, part of me feels for coaches like Izzo and Donovan, especially when they lose players in the midst of a season like Donovan did with Drejer at Florida. But what we're seeing here is a perfect example of the global marketplace at work.

In the past, elite European basketball players of a certain age looking for top competition didn't have a better option than American college basketball -- but that's simply not the case any longer.

European professional clubs, organized along the lines of the continent's professional Soccer clubs, can not only offer a paycheck, but a life that's comparitively hassle free when compared to the lot of the American student athlete. It begins with being able to concentrate soley on becoming a basketball player, without having to deal with the fiction of going to class. Even better, the European professional outfits don't have busybodies like the NCAA looking over their shoulders -- these athletes are professionals and adults, and get treated like them. That means no pesky regulations regarding when practice starts and ends. It means assistant coaches get paid a living wage. And it means not having to worry about whether a meaningless pickup game might wind up costing you a year of eligibility.

But the real problem for American college basketball has yet to emerge. Because while it's one thing for a European off the bench to bolt for dollars back on the continent, the real explosion is going to occur when an American kid opts for the European professional leagues straight out of high school or even earlier.

These days, the folks at Indiana figure they've always got the inside track on recruiting next year's Mr. Basketball. But it won't be too much longer when they're going to start worrying about scouts from Europe lurking in their gyms with promises of elite basketball training and big bucks, all without the attendant hassles of the NCAA and the fiction of American amateurism.

 
February 24th, 2004

NHL Roundup

With a chance to take the lead in the Eastern Conference, the Toronto Maple Leafs whiffed, dropping a 2-1 decision at home to the Carolina Hurricanes. The gentlemanly Ron Francis scored the game winner for Carolina, the 545th goal of his career, as he passed Maurice Richard for 20th place on the league's all-time goal scoring list. Congratulations, Ron.

But the Leafs weren't the only team to bonk against an inferior opponent last night. With a chance to tie Toronto, the Bruins were shutout by Roberto Luongo and Las Panteras, 2-0. Luongo had 38 saves for Florida in the win.

Elsewhere in the East, the Lightning exploded for four third period goals in a 6-3 win over Washington. And up in New York, the Rangers continued to play out the string, dropping a 4-1 decision to Montreal.

With Curtis Joseph hurting, and Manny Legace needing a rest, the Red Wings gave minor league call-up Marc Lamothe his first NHL start in five years, as the Wings and the Oilers tied, 1-1. Lamothe, who has played in the minors for ten seasons, had 29 saves for the Wings.

Jonathan Cheechoo scored twice, including converting on a penalty shot, in San Jose's 4-2 win over Columbus. In LA, Ian Laperriere scored twice in the Kings' 3-0 win over Nashville. with the two points, the Kings moved into sixth place in the West and back into the playoff picture.

And out in the desert paradise that is Glendale, Arizona, the Ducks and the Coyotes played to a 1-1 tie. After the game, the Coyotes waived hockey's Mr. October, Brian Savage, in a cost-cutting move. Savage, who had 12 goals and 12 assists this year, was due to be paid $3.7 million next season, not exactly what you would call a cost effective contract. And with the Coyotes out of the playoff race, this would seem to indicate that no teams were interested in adding Savage to their roster ahead of the playoffs.

If I were a player over 30 on a team out of the playoff race, I'd take this as a pretty ominous sign.

Elsewhere in the league, Ottawa GM John Muckler said he won't be looking for a goalie at the trade deadline. Steve Sullivan of the Predators and Olie Kolzig of the Caps were named NHL Offensive and Defensive players of the week, respectively.

Finally, you can find the latest from ESPN's John Buccigross, here.

 
February 23rd, 2004

Who At The Yankees Is Funding The Anti-Dean Ads?

Over the weekend, Centerfield, a political blog, did some digging in and around who might be responsible for funding a spate of anti-Howard Dean ads that ran in Iowa a few weeks ago. In the course of Rick Heller's research, he discovered that the Yes Network, the cable television arm of the YankeesNets holding company (which included not only the Yankees, but the Nets and the New Jersey Devils before the sale of the Nets to a group of investors headed by Bruce Ratner), had contributed $100,000 to the effort.

And that just didn't sound right to me. After all, the YES Network is majority-controlled by George Steinbrenner, who as I recall, got into a whole lot of trouble way back when for some of his donations to Richard Nixon in 1972. And after a quick trip to Open Secrets, I discovered that Steinbrenner has no history of making any sort of soft money donation at all in the past three election cycles.

But the CEO of YES is Leo Hindery, and his background is a completely different story. Hindery has made $800,000 of soft money contributions to Democrats since 2001. In 2002 alone, Hindery used YES to make $550,000 in donations to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. As many might recall, Hindery was CEO of former telecom high flyer Global Crossing before becoming CEO of YES.

Original link courtesy of Instapundit.

 
February 23rd, 2004

Petty Metaphors

From Arthur Staple, Rangers beat reporter for Newsday:

Vince Lombardi's name graced the board outside the Rangers' dressing room, with an excerpt from the late football coach's winning philosophy. It's a little late for pep talks, though, so perhaps Tom Petty was more appropriate yesterday.

The waiting is the hardest part.

And for those, who wind up on the roster of a playoff-bound squad, even the losers get lucky sometimes.

 
February 23rd, 2004

Football Notes

Pushed by newer owners, the NFL will soon be reconsidering certain details of the master agreement that created league-wide revenue sharing -- the one business decision that folks in the sports business say was the smartest thing late commissioner Pete Rozelle ever did.

As Eric Fisher of the Washington Times explains:

NFL owners next month will vote on the future of the NFL Trust, the master business agreement that maintains that shared national revenue structure. It is unlikely the entire agreement will be scrapped in favor of the more chaotic market-based system prevalent in baseball and particularly hockey. But several owners
 
February 23rd, 2004

Diluting ‘Moneyball’

Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders has made the move to mainstream media (congratulations Aaron), and his debut is a provocative one: that now that the sabermetric secrets detailed in Michael Lewis' excellent book, Moneyball have been revealed, that the advantage the Oakland A's enjoy over other better financed ballclubs will soon disappear.

Though I'm a little late to the game on this, I'm going to join David Pinto and JC at Old Fishinghat (soon to be joining the blogroll) in disagreeing with Aaron's thesis.

Why? First, while Sabermetrics may be the best predictor of performance on the baseball field, that doesn't mean that teams will necessarily listen to what the numbbers are telling them, and the New York Yankees' acquisition of Alex Rodriguez is a prime example of that.

By every reliable measure of statistical analysis, Rodriguez is a better fielding shortstop than Derek Jeter, and it isn't even close. The logical move for the Yankees to make to maximize their assets would be to move Jeter to third to make way for Rodriguez at shortstop.

But of course, that's never going to happen. As a result, though the Yankees are a much improved ballclub by dint of the trade, they're not as effective as they could be -- something that's owed to Jeter's status as a New York matinee idol more than anything else.

Further, the lessons learned in Moneyball are about more than just statistical analysis -- it's about creating an organization that can change and adapt to shifting circumstances. In short, it's about culture. And no matter how many teams might say they're using Sabermetrics to make decisions, that's a far cry from hardwiring it into the DNA of your organization.

Even in Moneyball, Beane admits to author Michael Lewis that the secret to his success is more than just the inventive use of statistics, it's about running an organization that's open to new sources of information, and isn't afraid of acting on them, even if that information is telling you something that you didn't believe before.

So while the gap is certainly closing, that doesn't mean that there won't be advantages for a smart organization to exploit. And when it comes to Beane, something tells me he won't be wasting time when it comes to creating new advantages he can use over other ballclubs.

UPDATE: There's more discussion of this over at Baseball Primer, a forum where Aaron has been answering some of his critics in a way that makes it appear that there's less daylight between where he and I stand on this.

 
February 23rd, 2004

Living The ‘Dream’

ESPN's new reality series where an anchor job with SportsCenter is up for grabs, Dream Job, debuted last night. Washington's own Ben Domenech actually lived through the DC-area tryout, and he shares his own experiences, here.

Note to Ben: all is forgiven over the Calder, but you better not miss any Gordie Howe questions. Then we might have a problem.

 
February 23rd, 2004

NHL Weekend Roundup

It's been a long slog, but Ottawa successfully fought off an early season slump, and now finds itself on top of the Eastern Conference following this weekend's action. On Saturday, part of the Hockey Day in Canada festivities, the Senators smothered the Flames 3-1, and then extended Pittsburgh's winless streak to 19 games with a 6-3 win at the Mellon Arena.

The Sens now have 81 points, and lead Toronto and Philly by one point for the Eastern Conference lead.

Dallas tightened its grip on a playoff spot this weekend, notching a 5-1 win over Colorado on Friday, and following it up with a 4-0 shutout of Anaheim in a Sunday matinee. Marty Turco had a fairly easy weekend, turning aside a combined 29 shots in the two wins. Dallas finished the weekend in fifth place with 70 points, only four behind Pacific-leading San Jose.

Hot on their heels is a Nashville team that's desperate to make the playoffs. On Friday, they downed Anaheim 3-2 in OT on a Scott Walker goal, then followed it up on Saturday with an 8-2 win over Phoenix. Nashville is in sixth place in the West, only one point behind Dallas.

With the Flyers skidding, the Devils are still in position to win the Atlantic Division, and they went a long way to making it happen with another two-win weekend. First, they finished off the Rangers, and their season, with a 7-3 win at Madison Square Garden on Saturday (for a post-mortem on the Rangers' season, see Hockeybird). Scott Gomez had two goals and three assists, while Patrick Elias also scored twice for the Devils. Elias scored twice more on Sunday as New Jersey beat Calgary 3-1 at home.

In Washington on Saturday, the Caps rallied from two goals down to force a 2-2 tie with Florida, but the real news was being made in the stands:

Some patrons of MCI Center have complained that signs critical of Washington Capitals owner Ted Leonsis and General Manager George McPhee have been seized by security personnel during recent games. Some fans have told The Post via e-mail that they will not renew their season tickets because of this practice.

The signs began appearing when the Capitals traded Jaromir Jagr to the New York Rangers, and continued with Peter Bondra's trade to Ottawa. Other popular players, such as Olaf Kolzig and Sergei Gonchar, could also be traded before the March 9 deadline.

Kurt Kehl, the team's director of communications, said the club's policy is to remove signs that are vulgar or offensive, or also those that obstruct the view of other fans. The Capitals had internal discussions prior to Thursday's game about how to handle such issues, and sources said Leonsis was among those who supported the right for fans to express negative opinions.

Season ticket holder Stephen Andrews said that signs saying "Trade Ted" and "Trade McPhee" were confiscated from fans near him even though patrons in those sections said the signs were not bothering them.

Now is not the time to antagonize fans, not when so few of them are still showing up to see one of the worst teams in hockey. Here's hoping the sentiment attributed to Leonsis above filters down to the ushers in the seats.

In the Philadelphia Inquirer, Tim Panaccio takes a look at how the NHL is taking the fight over the CBA to the Web. Click here for a closer look.

The news about Jeremy Roenick isn't good. The Coyotes have dealt Landon Wilson to Pittsburgh -- which has left him wondering who he got angry.

UPDATE: Missed the Kurt Sauer for Martin Skoula swap over the weekend. Keep up with all the trades here with TSN.

 
February 20th, 2004

Stern With The Public Assist

NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman got an unexpected assist in his labor war with the NHLPA today:

NBA commissioner David Stern said the NHL Players Association shouldn't take lightly the report done by former Securities and Exchange Commission chairman Arthur Levitt that disclosed that the NHL lost close to $300 million last season and is facing financial disaster. The current collective-bargaining agreement expires Sept. 15. "I can't imagine a person of more reliability on economic matters," Stern said of Levitt. "The union and the owners should have a very strong incentive to make that sport economically rational. They should sit down and (reach an agreement) because the alternative is going to be horrendous."

One note the reporter at the Rocky Mountain News failed to mention: Bettman used to work for Stern at the NBA before he became Commissioner of the NHL.

Then again, if the NHL had a CBA similar to the NBA, I have to wonder if things wouldn't be a little better.

 
February 20th, 2004

Does Anybody Watch SportsCenter Anymore?

Peter White just asked a question that's been on my mind for a couple of days now:

I don
 
February 20th, 2004

The Skinny On Sergei Gonchar

With Peter Bondra out the door in Washington, plenty of folks around the league are asking which of the Caps top dollar players will be next to go.

Which leads to this question from the Hockey Ninja:

Eric, you're a big Caps fan. What is your opinion of Gonchar's defensive abilities. We all know the boy can score, but what about in his own end? I've seen him play a tough physical game, but does he sustain that type of play? Also, does he have a tendency to make mental gaffes?

Ah yes, Sergei Gonchar. Whenever anybody asks me about 'Gonch', I'm reminded of something an old friend of mine once said about Slava Fetisov -- that he had the kind of face you'd expect to see working on an oil derrick in Sverdlovsk.

But fear not, we kid because we love. With Gonch, there's a lot to love on the offensive side of the puck, but when it comes to play in his own end, it's admittedly a mixed bag. I'm sure that plenty of folks are scared by the fact that Gonch's plus/minus stands at -19 right now, but you have to look at it in context. One NHL GM, who declined to be named, said that the Capitals defensive situation could be summed up this way: Gonch is a number one, Brendan Witt is a number six, and everybody else belongs in the AHL.

So, essentially, Gonchar is regularly forced to run the power play, play shorthanded, and log extra ice time against top opposition. As a result, he's averaging almost 28 minutes per game, and has been in the top five in the league in this category most of the season. Over the course of a season, getting to -19 when you're essentially one of the few players holding the team together isn't that difficult.

Basically, he's overwhelmed, and trying to make the best of it.

That being said, Gonchar has always played his best all-around game when he was in a regular defensive rotation with five reliable defenseman, and a partner who knew that his role was to stay at home and hold down the fort -- especially when Gonch wants to do some freelancing. His signature play comes on the man advantage, as the puck is being cycled away from him down low on the opposite wing. At times like this, Gonch likes to go back door, darting in from the point as the defense has its back turned.

When it works, it's a great play. But when it doesn't, there better be a defenseman paying attention. For most of his tenure in Washington, that somebody wass either Witt or Ken Klee. And now that Klee is in Toronto, I think that's where Gonchar might fit best. When he knows he's paired with someone responsible, he plays with a lot more confidence. A couple of years back, Klee was regularly near the top of the league in hits (mostly just tying up folks), and I think that was because he was so fixated on taking down his man when Gonchar was cheating a little in the offensive zone.

Which is why I don't think New Jersey would be a great fit for Gonchar. If Scott Stevens weren't injured, I'd pair Gonchar with him in a New York minute. But without Stevens, I don't know who that logical partner would be. My first thought was Colin White, but I've seen him burned and out of position too many times to think that could really work.

One thing I wouldn't ever question is Gonchar's heart. I've seen him bloodied too many times.

UPDATE: The Edmonton Journal has a good roundup of just who's on the trading block in Washington, and what it might take to pry them loose. The article mentions Zach Parise as the sort of player that would get Washington GM George McPhee's attention, but I can't see New Jersey giving him up. Instead, I think a package of players put together by the Leafs might be superior, as McPhee still has major holes on his blue line.

 
February 20th, 2004

NHL Roundup

Just when you think one team might take control of the playoff race in the East, somebody goes into a temporary skid, and another team plays lead dog for a little while. Last night, it was Philly whose skid continued, as they dropped a 4-3 decision to the Bruins at the Wachovia Center. The teams combined for four goals in the first period, and the whole evening had a feel of a late-season game from the 70s. It was the third straight loss for the Flyers, who now share first in the East with Toronto after their 2-1 OT win over Carolina. The pesky Darcy Tucker got the game winner.

Up in Kanata, Peter Bondra scored in his first game with the Senators, but it wasn't enough, as they lost to the Thrashers in OT, 3-2. Shawn McEachern scored a power play goal in OT to clinch the win for Atlanta, who are beginning to show signs of life, albeit too late for it to matter.

At the end of the evening, Philly and Toronto were tied atop the East with 78 points, while Ottawa and Boston were tied for fourth with 77. Tampa Bay, who lost 4-3 in OT to St. Louis, is now at 73 points, but has two or three games in hand over just about every team they trail in the East.

Still reeling from injuries that have left them depleted at center, the Flyers acquired Alexi Zhamnov from the Blackhawks along with a fourth round draft pick, in exchange for defenseman Jim Vandermeer, center Colin Fraser, and a seccond round pick in 2004.

At the lower end of the food chain in the East, Montreal snapped their four-game losing streak, beating Calgary 4-1. That win helped the Habs move into a seventh-place tie with the Islanders, who lost their fifth straight to the Rangers this season, 6-2. And in their first game without Peter Bondra, the Caps beat New Jersey 3-1. Olie Kolzig, believed by most observers to be the next high-salaried player shipped out of D.C., had 43 saves for the Caps.

Out West, Marco Sturm had a goal and two assists as San Jose beat Chicago, 6-3. And in St. Paul, the Wild blitzed the Canucks, 6-2. Marc Chouinard scored twice for the home team, and Antti Laaksonen scored on a penalty shot while the Wild were shorthanded.

In injury news, Flyers goalie Robert Esche may return next week, after recovering from a knee injury, while Ladislav Nagy is facing season-ending surgery in Phoenix. And in a surprise for me, Eric Lindros told the New York Times he's feeling better, and wants to return to the ice soon.

UPDATE: Victor at Publius was at MCI Center last night, and the mood wasn't good.

 
February 19th, 2004

Right And Wrong With Michael Wilbon

More often than not, Michael Wilbon of the Washington Post doesn't pay much attention to the NHL. That's ok, as he's still one of the more talented columnists out there. But with the Washington Capitals breaking up their roster to build for the future, Wilbon felt moved to address the issue this morning.

He got one thing right, and he got another thing wrong:

But whenever this sale is over, folks here have to wonder about the future of the Capitals. See, this is the gloom that hangs over the NHL right now because of the work stoppage that's coming after this season because of owner-player differences over a new collective bargaining agreement. Brett Hull and Jeremy Roenick, two of the smartest, most politically aware and economically savvy players in the NHL, are both union guys. But they've both told me in recent weeks it would not surprise them one bit, presuming a really long work stoppage, if the NHL has to come back with fewer than its present 30 teams -- something closer to 22 or 24. Give me one good reason the NHL shouldn't contract the entire Southeast Division, and don't tell me because Tampa Bay is having a good season. Tampa Bay is beating up on four chumps in Atlanta, Florida, Carolina and Washington.

Whenever the NHL does come back, presumably in a scaled-down form, who's to say Washington is a lock to have a team? What, Major League Baseball can do without us but the NHL can't?

First, here's what Wilbon got right: hockey fandom could definitely live without a number of the expansion franchises it's added since the early 1990s. When I put the question to my readers last week, they didn't hesitate to list the teams they'd gladly toss without a second thought.

Every night as I sit down in front of my television, I always make time to check the schedule on NHL Center Ice. I look for the Islanders and Rangers first, and then scan the list for the most compelling matchups.

But more nights than I want to remember, I'm looking down a list of games that includes tilts like Florida-Phoenix, Carolina-Anaheim, or Columbus-Nashville. And on those nights, I can't help but feel a little angry.

How about Dallas-Colorado? Rangers-Flyers? Edmonton-Calgary?

With as many new teams as there are, crowded onto a balanced schedule, there are simply too may games that aren't terribly compelling. If anything, the NHL ought to change the schedule to make sure that inter-and intra-divisional rivals play more often.

Next, think hard about unbalancing the schedule not unlike the NFL. Sure, keep a standard schedule with teams inside your division and conference, but base a part of the intra-conference schedule on where team's finished in the previous season. That would create more compelling intra-conference matchups between the strongest teams.

On the other hand, here's where Wilbon got it wrong. So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning are 6-6-0-3 in 15 games against Southeast Division teams. So, while the Lightning's massive lead in the Divisional race is due in part to the way their opponents are playing, that's only part of the story, as the Lightning are 25-11-4 against the rest of the league, including a four-game season sweep of the Eastern Conference-leading Flyers. Over their last 12 games, the Bolts are 10-1-1.

That's a quality hockey team down there in Tampa. One that deserves a chance to develop a fan base during a potentially lengthy playoff run.